Saturday, December 24, 2011

Another lie from your New York Times: "the weather becomes more erratic by the year"

Climate Scientists Hampered in Study of 2011 Extremes - NYTimes.com

And so, as the weather becomes more erratic by the year, the public is left to wonder what is going on.

...A major question nowadays is whether the frequency of particular weather extremes is being affected by human-induced climate change.

Climate science already offers some insight. Researchers have proved that the temperature of the earth’s surface is rising, and they are virtually certain that the human release of greenhouse gases, mainly from the burning of fossil fuels, is the major reason. For decades, they have predicted that this would lead to changes in the frequency of extreme weather events, and statistics show that has begun to happen....This year, when the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration tried to push through a reorganization that would have provided better climate forecasts to businesses, citizens and local governments, Republicans in the House of Representatives blocked it. The idea had originated in the Bush administration, was strongly endorsed by an outside review panel and would have cost no extra money. But the House Republicans, many of whom reject the overwhelming scientific consensus about the causes of global warming, labeled the plan an attempt by the Obama administration to start a “propaganda” arm on climate.

DroughtFlood In The Year 1900

The summer of 1900 saw severe drought across much of the US. It also brought the deadliest hurricane in US history. They were not sophisticated enough back then to identify global weirding, and blame it on high low CO2

Email 3906: "greed loses you the prize"; UEA internally discusses increasing daily consulting rates for Jones (£750) and others by another 25%; does the money go to the school. or do the individuals pocket it?

Email 3906

Related to this decision is that of day rates. It has been proposed that standard day rates should be used for all Tyndall people. These would apply as follows to UEA people:

Phil: £750 Tim, Rachel, Anthony, Aldina, William, Clare: £550 Maureen: £450

But please see the email forwarded below from Sue Johnson about these rates. They would be top-sliced by 25%, but Sue's suggestion that we may wish to up them by 25% would put us out of step with other Tyndall groups.

---

We should be very cautious of increasing further...i.e. don't even think about it...agreement of these (common range of) rates for different levels was my suggestion because we are competing with consultancies, these are the level of rates that they have and if you go higher then your bid is both expensive and stands no hope of passing the value for money tests - for example, we lost a bid for us and Geoff Darch at Atkins because costs were too high for a few of the Tyndall members and could/would not reduce them by the 20% asked of us by the Environment Agency - result - they gave it to someone else when we were the preferred bidder...greed loses you the prize

...my recommendation is to stick with where they are and if you really have increase anything - increase the days and just do it in a shorter time -this still makes your bid more expensive overall but at least it looks better in the value for money tests.

In case you missed it: Hockey stick co-author: "it may be that Mann et al simply don't have the long-term trend right"; "I hedge my bets on whether there were any periods in Medieval times that might have been "warm", to the irritation of my co-authors!"

Email 207
...
Sorry this kept you awake...but I have also found it a rather alarming graph. First, a disclaimer/explanation. The graph patches together 3 things: Mann et al NH mean annual temps + 2 sigma standard error for AD1000-1980, + instrumental data for 1981-1998 + IPCC ("do not quote, do not cite" projections for GLOBAL temperature for the next 100 years, relative to 1998. The range of shading represents several models of projected emissions scenarios as input to GCMs, but the GCM mean global temperature output (as I understand it) was then reproduced by Sarah Raper's energy balance model, and it is those values that are plotted. Keith pointed this out to me; I need to go back & read the IPCC TAR to understand why they did that, but it makes no difference to the first order result....neither does it matter that the projection is global rather than NH....the important point is that the range of estimates far exceeds the range estimated by Mann et al in their reconstruction. Keith also said that the Hadley Center GCM runs are being archived at CRU, so it ought to be possible to get that data and simply compute the NH variability for the projected period & add that to the figure, but it will not add much real information. However, getting such data would allow us to extract (say) a summer regional series for the Arctic and to then plot it versus the Holocene melt record from Agassiz ice cap....or....well, you can see other possiblities.

[......At this point Keith Alverson throws up his hands in despair at the ignorance of non-model amateurs...]

But there are real questions to be asked of the paleo reconstruction. First, I should point out that we calibrated versus 1902-1980, then "verified" the approach using an independent data set for 1854-1901. The results were good, giving me confidence that if we had a comparable proxy data set for post-1980 (we don't!) our proxy-based reconstruction would capture that period well. Unfortunately, the proxy network we used has not been updated, and furthermore there are many/some/ tree ring sites where there has been a "decoupling" between the long-term relationship between climate and tree growth, so that things fall apart in recent decades....this makes it very difficult to demonstrate what I just claimed. We can only call on evidence from many other proxies for "unprecedented" states in recent years (e.g. glaciers, isotopes in tropical ice etc..). But there are (at least) two other problems -- Keith Briffa points out that the very strong trend in the 20th century calibration period accounts for much of the success of our calibration and makes it unlikely that we would be able be able to reconstruct such an extraordinary period as the 1990s with much success (I may be mis-quoting him somewhat, but that is the general thrust of his criticism). Indeed, in the verification period, the biggest "miss" was an apparently very warm year in the late 19th century that we did not get right at all. This makes criticisms of the "antis" difficult to respond to (they have not yet risen to this level of sophistication, but they are "on the scent"). Furthermore, it may be that Mann et al simply don't have the long-term trend right, due to underestimation of low frequency info. in the (very few) proxies that we used. We tried to demonstrate that this was not a problem of the tree ring data we used by re-running the reconstruction with & without tree rings, and indeed the two efforts were very similar -- but we could only do this back to about 1700. Whether we have the 1000 year trend right is far less certain (& one reason why I hedge my bets on whether there were any periods in Medieval times that might have been "warm", to the irritation of my co-authors!). So, possibly if you crank up the trend over 1000 years, you find that the envelope of uncertainty is comparable with at least some of the future scenarios, which of course begs the question as to what the likely forcing was 1000 years ago. (My money is firmly on an increase in solar irradiance, based on the 10-Be data..). Another issue is whether we have estimated the totality of uncertainty in the long-term data set used -- maybe the envelope is really much larger, due to inherent characteristics of the proxy data themselves....again this would cause the past and future envelopes to overlap.

...Ray [Bradley]

At 01:34 PM 7/10/00 +0200, you wrote: Salut mes amis,

I've lost sleep fussing about the figure coupling Mann et al. (or any alternative climate-history time series) to the IPCC scenarios. It seems to me to encapsulate the whole past-future philosophical dilemma that bugs me on and off (Ray - don't stop reading just yet!), to provide potentially the most powerful peg to hang much of PAGES future on, at least in the eyes of funding agents, and, by the same token, to offer more hostages to fortune for the politically motivated and malicious. It also links closely to the concept of being inside or outside 'the envelope' - which begs all kinds of notions of definition. Given what I see as its its prime importance, I therefore feel the need to understand the whole thing better. I don't know how to help move things forward and my ideas, if they have any effect at all, will probably do the reverse. At least I might get more sleep having unloaded them, so here goes......[Frank Oldenfield]

In case you missed it: Hockey stick co-author claims that after 1850, critical trees lost their alleged ability to record temperature

Year 2000 ClimateGate email

If you examine my Fig 1 closely you will see that the Campito record and Keith's reconstruction from wood density are extraordinarily similar until 1850. After that they differ not only in the lack of long-term trend in Keith's record, but in every other respect - the decadal-scale correlation breaks down. I tried to imply in my e-mail, but will now say it directly, that although a direct carbon dioxide effect is still the best candidate to explain this effect, it is far from proven. In any case, the relevant point is that there is no meaningful correlation with local temperature. Not all high-elevation tree-ring records from the West that might reflect temperature show this upward trend. It is only clear in the driest parts (western) of the region (the Great Basin), above about 3150 meters elevation, in trees old enough (>~800 years) to have lost most of their bark - 'stripbark' trees. As luck would have it, these are precisely the trees that give the chance to build temperature records for most of the Holocene. I am confident that, before AD1850, they do contain a record of decadal-scale growth season temperature variability. I am equally confident that, after that date, they are recording something else.  [Malcolm Hughes]

In case you missed it: Phil Jones evidently admits that "The original data for sites for which we made appropriate adjustments in the temperature data in the 1980s" is lost

2009 ClimateGate email

[Phil Jones] The original raw data are not lost. I could reconstruct what we had from U.S. Department of Energy reports we published in the mid-1980s. I would start with the GHCN data. I know that the effort would be a complete waste of time, though. I may get around to it some time. The documentation of what weve done is all in the literature. If we have lost any data it is the following: 1. Station series for sites that in the 1980s we deemed then to be affected by either urban biases or by numerous site moves, that were either not correctable or not worth doing as there were other series in the region. 2. The original data for sites for which we made appropriate adjustments in the temperature data in the 1980s. We still have our adjusted data, of course, and these along with all other sites that didnt need adjusting. 3. Since the 1980s as colleagues and National Meteorological Services <[9]http://www.wmo.int/pages/members/index_en.html> (NMSs) have produced adjusted series for regions and or countries, then we replaced the data we had with the better series.

Not viral yet: Al Franken's defense of the climate hoax garners 613 views in over a week

Sen. Franken's Colloquy with Sen. Whitehouse on Climate Change - YouTube

Uploaded by on Dec 15, 2011

Sen. Franken and Sen. Whitehouse engaged in a colloquy on the senate floor to talk about climate change and the overwhelming science behind the theory of anthropogenic global warming.

U.S. Shale Revolution Is Killing Coal

Inexpensive natural gas is the biggest threat to coal. Nothing else even comes close.

Are Yellowstone's grizzly bears new face of global warming? | Alaska Dispatch

In some ways, the court ruling clashes with a prevailing public perception that Yellowstone grizzlies no longer need the ESA. Since the Yellowstone bear population came under federal custodial status in 1975, numbers have tripled to about 600.

Government officials say the ruling ignores the fact that there are plenty of other natural foods for grizzlies to eat. Whitebark pine has all but vanished from Glacier National Park because of a disease outbreak 60 years ago, yet the bear population there today is a robust 900.

Ten Degrees Of UHI In Denver | Real Science

During the last week, downtown Denver has averaged almost 10 degrees warmer than outlying rural areas at the same elevation. This is largely due to snow removal.

Hansen says that UHI is unimportant, and often makes locations cooler than they would have been otherwise. He reports global temperatures within 0.01 degrees, despite the fact that his coverage of the Earth’s surface is less than 80%.

Merry Christmas Joe! | Real Science

Rutgers University data shows that December snow extent has been increasing, with the last four years all close to the record. December temperatures have been plummeting in the US since the start of the 21st century – at an astonishing  rate of 57 degrees per century.

In Irving Berlin’s White Christmas (written in the 1950s) – the whole point of the story was that is was very warm in Vermont (70 degrees) until Christmas Eve.

Merry Christmas Everyone!

Note how both Scrooge and alarmists get mad when we burn coal and spend our money on consumerism, or advocate throwing people who think differently in prison.

The Solar Weasel Effect | Real Science

During the 1980s and 1990s, when solar activity was starting to decline from a multi-decadal record high - climate scientists insisted that variations in solar activity were too small to have contributed to the 20th century warming trend.

Now that temperatures are falling and solar activity is low, these very same weasels are trying to blame the temperatures on low solar activity.

America must not back down on sustainable energy | Grist

The American solar energy industry is thriving [Boxer/Sanders/Kerry/Whitehouse]

Inspire the Choir, Shush the Denier: A Climate Communications Manifesto

First, and obviously, when someone denies that climate change is a problem in the company of others, speak up. You needn’t be an expert. Just say that 99% of all climate scientists agree we’ve got a problem and it’s not a conspiracy and it seems foolish to pretend there’s nothing to talk about.

Homeless in Delhi | The Asian Age

Officially, 106 people have died of cold this month. Since official figures are always politely understated, let’s just say scores are dying of cold around North India every day. Most freeze to death under the open sky in busy cities, or in tattered shacks, or under trees or in crumbling huts. If you think you have a problem with the winter chill, think again.

The New Nostradamus of the North: The "launch tour" of the new Greenpeace luxury yacht continues in style

The "launch tour" of the Greenpeace luxury yacht Rainbow Warrior III continues in style. Having enjoyed the beautiful sights and sounds of the Swedish archipelago and Stockholm, the group of carefully selected activists on board a few days ago reached the shores of Spain, where they enjoyed a gourmet meal in Barcelona prepared by the famous Michelin star chef Diego Guerrero.

The five (or six?) course meal, with fish "caught the same morning by local artisanal fishermen" was "the best meal of my life", enthuses the activist Tracy

Climate Alarmists Hate Using Their Brains Or Telling The Truth | Real Science

Last year the big lie was that global warming was causing a lot of snow. This year the big lie is that global warming is causing little snow. Winter snowfall has been steadily increasing for twenty years, and the last four winters have been the snowiest four year period on record in North America.

This dumbass author must be located in the east, because temperatures out west are running far below normal. Want a white Christmas? Go to southern New Mexico or Big Bend, Texas. I’m in Colorado this week, and we are buried in snow.

Permafrost Meltdown Update | Real Science

At minus 62 degrees, I can hear the methane bubbling from three thousand miles away

Hansen Describes The Living Hell Of Life In Manhattan After 2008 | Real Science

Non-Existent Urban Heat Island Effect To Make Cities Unlivable | Real Science

UHI is a huge effect when wanting to scare people about global warming, But when calculating global temperatures, UHI is almost non-existent.

Earth To Reach Absolute Zero In 41 Years | Real Science

Using the Hayhoe/Dessler Start Measuring At An Inflection Point Technique

Arctic Ice Just As Thick As 1958 | Real Science

In 1958, the average thickness of Arctic sea ice was six feet. Identical to 2011.

Friday, December 23, 2011

RealClearMarkets - The Slow, Agonizing Death of Europeanism

It has been a source of outrage that in the Eurozone negotiations, and in climate negotiations, it is the English-speaking democracies that have been the main dissenters from "Europeanism." It calls to mind another of Thatcher's great observations: "During my lifetime most of the problems the world has faced have come, in one fashion or other, from mainland Europe, and the solutions from outside it."

First White Christmas in 72 years for San Angelo?

West Central Texas is preparing for 1 to 3 inches of snow

The last official white Christmas in San Angelo was in 1939, when the city of 100,000 located almost in the center of Texas, received 1 ½ inches of snow.

Lead global warming author quits IPCC project « Don Surber

That is front page news, New York Times. That is Andrew Revkin’s scoop of the century. And he buried the story.

Twitter / @Revkin: If Obama kills #kxl pipeli ...

If Obama kills pipeline due to GOP move, will this curb demand for Canada’s oil sands or blunt CO2 rise? No (NYT):

Coldest December in San Luis Obispo in 40 years? Probably

This is proving to be the coldest December in San Luis Obispo County, California, since 1971, says local weather expert John Lindsey.  And December 1971 was the coldest December on record.

Running from Climate Change: The Obama Administration’s Changing Rhetoric « Climate and Development Lab

 The phrases “climate change” and “global warming” have become all but taboo on Capital Hill. These terms are stunningly absent from the political arena, and have been since 2010

Environmentalism & Freedom » Climate Resistance

George opens with the classic litany of ecological alarmism, concluding that the ‘vast majority of climate scientists believe that climate change is happening’. The mistake, of course, is to forget that many — perhaps even the majority of — climate sceptics believe that ‘climate change is happening’, too. What is at issue is the degree to which it is happening, and what kind of a problem climate change is. ‘Climate change is happening’ doesn’t mean anything by itself; it’s an entirely empty claim

Tim Wirth Slams Obama: "I Don't Know Who and Where the Climate Leadership in the Administration Is. It Doesn't Exist." | ThinkProgress

There is no resolve in the Obama administration to do anything

Wirth: 2012 is Obama’s ‘last window of opportunity’ to get it right on climate change | JunkScience.com

Wirth is still “riding the global warming issue.”

Rajendra Pachauri: Ever the Activist « NoFrakkingConsensus

his conduct is indistinguishable from a green activist.

2007 email to Phil Jones: "I've just come accross something interesting in my data - it looks like the land T and dewpoint T data is recorded only to whole numbers prior to 1982 too"

Email 4299

I've just come accross something interesting in my data - it looks like the land T and dewpoint T data is recorded only to whole numbers prior to 1982 too. I've only looked at a few stations so far but these have been in completely different countries but show the same thing. I don't think/hope this affects any results so far too much.

Email 1102: Bianca Jagger launches Green Party climate campaign; UEA prof claims that "The climate of the future is what we make it"

PR: Bianca Jagger launches Green Party Climate

Prof. Tim O'Riordan, from UEA's School of Environmental Science commented on the subject of temperature and sea level rise. He said: " The climate of the future is what we make it..."

Email 939: Monbiot, Lynas, and Gelbspan allegedly approved of a letter claiming that by 2050, because of CO2, "more than the total amount the world produces that year could be destroyed and life as we know it could collapse"

Email 939

...By 2050, annual losses could theoretically amount to anywhere between 12 per cent and 130 per cent of the gross world product. In other words, more than the total amount the world produces that year could be destroyed and life as we know it could collapse....Yours sincerely

...
George Monbiot - Journalist UK
...
Mark Lynas - Co-ordinator, Corporate Watch, UK
...
Ross Gelbspan - Author 'The Heat Is On' and Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist

Email 4826: Two UEA professors (?) identify themselves as Norwich Green Party members, compare Lindzen to a flat-earther, warn about "severe regional cooling to Britain, whilst the tropics would start to fry"

Email 4826

from: "Boswell Andrew Dr (ITCS) s139" <A.Boswell@uea.ac.uk>

...Why? Because the science to which [John Jewell] appeals in attacking mainstream Climate Change Science is virtually worthless. Richard Lindzen's attacks on Kyoto receive about the same level of esteem among serious climatologists, for example our colleagues in the Tyndall Centre at Norwich's own UEA, as flat-earthers received from their 'scientific colleagues', a few centuries back.

It is not scare-mongering to talk of global climate change as a reality, along with its drastic consequences. For example, recently Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute has uncovered a change "of remarkable amplitude" in the circulation of the waters of the North Atlantic that could 'turn off' the Gulf Stream within a generation. Scientists are evaluating the findings, and an expert from the world renowned Potsdam Institute, collaborators of UEA, has said it would cause severe regional cooling to Britain, whilst the tropics would start to fry under the effects of global warming. Is this the legacy that we want to bequeath to our children and grandchildren?

Mr Jewell also implies implementing Kyoto would be too costly. But a Tyndall Centre study at http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp4_summary.shtml demonstrates high cost estimates for the US economy are often flawed. Indeed, Ute Collier, Head of WWF UK Climate Change Programme, said "There will be economic benefits for those countries who will implement the treaties". This may be why six US states and six Canadian states, representing a population of over 100 million people, have already started to implement Kyoto regionally despite the US government.

We in the Green Party believe passionately -- based on the science -- that there is an URGENT need to drastically reduce global carbon emissions, and human-induced climate-change. Because of that, we applaud the local CRed initiative, and urge all readers of the EDP to contribute in every way they can to this campaign.

Dr. Rupert Read 17 Merton Rd. & Dr. Andrew Boswell 23 Havelock Rd., NORWICH GREEN PARTY.

CONTACT RUPERT READ

Dr Rupert Read
Philosophy
University of East Anglia

UEA's Pallister on a chance to see "4 local politicians facing a grilling about Science"; two of the four politicians were also UEA "scientists", and a third, a "climate change campaigner", had worked at UEA for 32 years?

Email 1924

PUBLIC DEBATE ON SCIENCE

With the whiff of a General Election in the air, it's time to dust down your personal swing-o-meter and get your Jeremy Paxman questioning technique perfected, as next Wednesday sees 4 local politicians facing a grilling about Science.

Time/Date: 5.30pm-7pm, Wednesday 21 February

Venue: Lecture Theatre 4

Politicians:

- Dr Ian Gibson, Labour MP for Norwich North

- Kay Mason, Conservative Party Parliamentary candidate for Norwich North

- Professor Tim O'Riordan, Liberal Democrat representative

- Rob Tinch, Green Party Parliamentary candidate for Norwich North

Please do pass this message on to colleagues, friends and family as attendance is free and all are welcome.
...
Mary Pallister

Ian Gibson (politician) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

He worked continuously for the University of East Anglia from 1965 until his election thirty-two years later.

Flashback - Controversy over climate change

We brought former MP and climate change campaigner, Dr Ian Gibson, who used to be chairman of the science select committee and Dean of Biology at the University of East Anglia, to Copenhagen.

Professor Timothy O’Riordan, OBE, FBA - University of East Anglia (UEA)

Before retiring in July 2005, I was Professor of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia. He has edited a large number of books on the institutional aspects of global environmental change policy and practice, and led two international research projects on the transition to sustainability in the European Union (1995-1999).

Climategate’s Cannabis Connection | JunkScience.com

Dr. Rob Tinch
Lecturer in Ecological Economics
School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia

 

10Q: Exploring Attenborough's Earth - Bloomberg

Q: What would you say to the still sizeable body of skeptics who doubt global warming is man made?

A: It would seem to me that it would be absolutely extraordinary if the most numerous and powerful species that the planet has ever seen didn’t have an effect on the climate. It would be absolutely amazing. But whether we did or whether we didn’t is neither here nor there, when we know we’re faced with the problem of increasing temperatures and climate change. No one can deny that the climate is changing – it IS changing. And if we do nothing, it’ll be changing with increasing speed.

Their Side – Bloggers knew FOIA emails were coming « the Air Vent

[comment] But I am confident this was not the work of a hacker. If they were a hacker, they would not worry about filtering out personal or irrelevant information. No, the data was clearly being collected for a FOIA dump by CRU and someone just conformed with the law (which is one reason I don’t think they will disclose the source).

I think I will post my musings sometime next week, since the more I think about the more I conclude FOIA is not only protected, but known by authorities and CRU. And they appear to be untouchable. The reasons they may be untouchable is what I find interesting.

Norfolk Police Raid TallBloke - YouTube

BBC Interview with two people interviewed by Norfolk Police in connection with ClimateGate emails. Permission obtained from BBC Reporter.

1939 : All Of The World’s Glaciers In Retreat | Real Science

One of the most flagrant lies from the IPCC, the EPA, and the Hey-Ho, is that glacial retreat is due to CO2.

Ice Extent Greatest Since At Least 2005 | Real Science

Arctic ice extent is increasing rapidly towards the mean, after having had one of the shortest melt seasons on record.

Meanwhile, the press continues to report that Arctic ice is near or at a record low, and melting fast.

Below350.org | Real Science

Was the weather better below 350 ppm? Absolutely not.

Mad Max Runs out of Desert | talkingabouttheweather.com

Poor Mad Max, he can’t catch a break. Right when a handy drought was helping leftist goons take over Australia as well as lending perfect scenery for the Road Warrior to shoot his next film, mother nature comes along and messes everything up. She’s like that. (Don’t tell the leftists, mind you.)

Remember when global warming caused less snow, before it caused more snow? Now it causes less snow again

Twitter / @MichaelEMann: Dreaming of a white Christ ...

Dreaming of a white Christmas? via "Green Christmas more frequent due to global warming"

Hulme: "a change in the unquestioning support I might earlier have given to certain unreflexive policy discourses and advocacy campaigns"

Mike Hulme

(22 December) NEW: A personal narrative of my research career, showing how my ideas about climate change have evolved since I was an undergraduate student (1978-1981) and placing my publications into this historical account.

From Hulme's narrative:

what I do offer here is a story - a narrative structure - that may help others see the journey I am on and explain why my published work at different stages of my career may have been different, distinct and even at times contradictory.
The world that we study – the climates that we seek to understand – is not simply out there in pure form waiting to be discovered by the impartial mind. These climates that we bring to life are partly created through our processes of enquiry. That the knowledge about climate and climate change that I have offered my peers and my readers throughout my career does not always stitch together into a seamless whole, is therefore at least partly a function of the limitations and biases of my own mind and of its subjection to external (and internal) influences. This is one sense therefore in which my own ‘science’ of climate change has been ‘post-normal’ (cf. Hulme, 2007a,b). A full disclosure of these biases and inadequacies can of course never be delivered, neither by me nor by my interlocutors.
...
‘Uncertainties’ were very evident in my work – regularly dealing with both data uncertainties and model uncertainties. But although I published significant papers on these issues, I did not have available to me the analytical tools from critical or philosophical disciplines to reflect more deeply about what such uncertainty signified, nor how this related to public policy-making. In CRU I was immersed in a contract research environment where my employment continuity and that of my group was dependent upon gaining the next research contract or consultancy. It would take me several more years to be able to adopt a more reflexive stance to my own work...In the autumn of 1997 I had been proactive with colleagues in compiling a list of nearly 800 signatories amongst European climate change-related scientists to an open letter to the European delegations convening in Kyoto urging them to lend their weight behind the idea of legally-binding emissions reductions targets. It was to be another 10 years before I revoked on this conviction, becoming convinced that this approach was misguided and ineffective (Hulme, 2010a; Prins et al., 2010)...
These three essays signalled my growing unease about some of the ways in which (climate) science was being presented and deployed in public debates. My exposure to a wider range of academic disciplines allowed me to adopt a more critical stance in how I perceived the relations between climate change science, public knowledge and discourse and policy development
...Using newly discovered – for me! - theories and insights from science and technology studies and the geography of science, I became more critical of the ways in which climate change knowledge was made and exercised. The object of my critiques were not only my own earlier production of UKCIP climate scenarios (Hulme and Dessai, 2008a), but also the knowledge claims of the IPCC (Hulme, 2008b; 2010b; Hulme et al., 2010; Hulme and Mahony, 2010) and of the different ways in which climate knowledge gets validated (Hulme, 2010c). I also examined the deficiencies of global kinds of climate knowledge more generally (Hulme, 2010d; O’Neill et al., 2010) and the limitations of their use in policy (Hulme, 2008b,c; Hulme et al., 2011).
...My thinking which underlay this change (to some people a rather surprising change) in my analysis of climate change – at least a change in the unquestioning support I might earlier have given to certain unreflexive policy discourses and advocacy campaigns – was laid out most comprehensively in my 2009 book Why We Disagree About Climate Change (Hulme, 2009c).

Email 124: UEA's Rob Tinch asks a cannabis activist how much cash to request for a renewable energy company to sponsor "our" climate change page

Email 124

date: Fri, 13 Jul 2001 09:55:05 +0100 from: "Rob Tinch" subject: Re: [ngp-list] website RE: [ngp-list] University / Eaton meeting to:

Derek, what would be a reasonable amount to request from a renewable energy company for a link from our climate change page, say for 1 year? And how much to sponsor the site completely (although we'd need to discuss this idea further at a meeting)?

Cheers,

Rob ------------------------------------------------------- Dr. Rob Tinch Lecturer in Ecological Economics School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia
...
------------------------------------ UK Cannabis Internet Activists http://www.ukcia.org derek@ukcia.org Junk it Blunkett and skunk it.

The UK Cannabis Internet Activists Website

A website dedicated to the issue of cannabis law reform

Email 4953: Rob Tinch of UEA sends an email to ueagp@egroups.com appealing for help (and offering to coordinate transport) regarding a Green Party global warming hoax leafletting campaign

Email 4953

to: "Norwich GP Mailing list" <norwichgreenparty@egroups.com>, <ueagp@egroups.com>

Please read the message below from Martin Harrison of Lincoln Greens, about campaigning on Global Warming in Boston on Saturday 2 December. Boston is one of the UK places at greatest risk from sea level rise and other climate change problems. This is in the Eastern Midlands Euro region, where we polled 5.4% of the vote last time. A big increase is possible: as Martin says "I really think that once the penny drops we will be swimming in votes."

If people are interested in going, please mail the lists, and we'll try to coordinate transport.

Cheers,

Rob ------------------------------------------------------- Rob Tinch School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia
...
-----Original Message----- From: Martin Harrison To: enquiries@norwichgreenparty.org Date: 22 November 2000 21:02 Subject: appeal for help with leafletting

I spoke to Ingo this evening. Please could you distribute this appeal far and wide urgently. At present we have only 2 people to carry out this leafletting in Boston, a week on Saturday.

Basically Boston is THE place in the whole UK that gets the most potential damage from global warming. It gets hit from rising sea, flooding rivers, the farming industry from the UV as the global warming enlargens the ozone hole over the UK.
Thank you
Martin Harrison

Friday Funny – New NOAA supercomputer “Gaea” revealed | Watts Up With That?

13. Inverter Stage: As a quality control check, Portions of the A-OK Data is inverted by the upside down Mannomatic, looked at in a mirror, then declared still usable.

PV installations plummet by 97 percent post FiT cut - Solar Power Portal

The Department for Energy and Climate Change has revealed that from December 12-18, a measly 812 systems were installed. The figure is down by 97 percent from last week’s incredible installation figures that saw 125.93MW of capacity installed, as installers rushed to beat the December 12 deadline. 

No coal, no growth, says South African power company chief - CNN.com

(CNN) -- It might be one of the world's worst polluting energy sources, but coal has allowed South Africa to become the continent's largest economy, according to the chief executive of the country's power utility company Eskom.

Speaking to CNN's Robyn Curnow, Eskom's Brian Dames said coal has been key to fueling South Africa's economic growth and improving the lives of many in the country.

"We've been very successful in the use of coal in growing one of the largest economies, in bringing electricity to the majority of South Africans -- we're absolutely not defensive about it," said Dames.

Jimmy Works His Arctic Magic | Real Science

Despite having no data north of 80N, Hansen has determined that it was very hot there  in November. By fabricating a huge 4-8C anomaly at the North Pole, he is able to keep global temperatures (barely) rising this century, while HadCRUT shows global temperatures falling.

He also did a bang up job warming Greenland well above measured temperatures. RSS showed almost all of Greenland cold, but Hansen’s magic crayon did an impressive job of heating the place up.

Climate alarmists might just be captive to basic emotions « JoNova: Science, carbon, climate and tax

Paul Biegler has some words of wisdom in The Age, but unfortunately he mixed up a few vital terms up in his  pop-psychosocial-analysis.
Once again, the projection of the alarmist’s own inner headspace is rampant. Those without the ability to reason keep “finding” that inability in those who can. (It makes sense,  a brain needs to use logic to recognize logic)*. Not surprisingly, surveys also show that skeptics are more literate and numerate than believers.

Those who adopt fashionable ideas to impress their friends assume their opponents behave in the same unscientific way.  I have to sympathise with them. How else can they explain the mismatch between their chosen prophets and their busted prophecies?z

- Bishop Hill blog - A call for disinformation

Some time ago I spoke to a PR guy at the Met Office who acknowledged that scientists there had been wont to exaggerate in the past. However the rise of the sceptical blogs meant that this kind of behaviour would be seen and criticised, with damaging consequences for the Met Office's reputation. He told me that much of his job now involved trying to make sure that the scientists stayed within reasonable bounds in their public utterances.

Measuring Climate Sensitivity – Part Two – Mixed Layer Depths « The Science of Doom

I’m finding that the signposts on the journey to measuring climate sensitivity are confusing and hard to read.

Green Mass Extinction

Only four years ago, hundreds of start-ups optimistically built factories and churned out solar panels to meet rising demand. Now, closures and failure loom for many. Only a handful of manufacturers are now profitable. European banks that lent billions for solar installation have also pulled back as they struggle in the euro zone credit crisis, and debt-laden Chinese solar companies are in danger of burning up.

MediaShift . For Better and for Worse: The Changing World of Science Journalism | PBS

"Science and environmental journalism is a shrinking slice of a rapidly growing pie of communications," said Tom Yulsman, co-director of the Center for Environmental Journalism at the University of Colorado, paraphrasing his friend, DotEarth-blogger Andrew Revkin. "There's more communication going on now than there ever has been, but the people who are in a position to interpret it and tell us why it matters are in fewer and fewer positions to explain it to us," [Do we really need journalism majors to explain to us why CO2 is dangerous?] Yulsman said.

..."There are a lot of really good bloggers out there. There are also a lot of activists. There are some referees, people to interpret and make the call, that this is bullshit and this isn't," Yulsman said....
That is part of the reason Steve Running likes the trend toward videos that allow scientists to explain their work in their own words. A Nobel Laureate for his work on climate change modeling, Running trusts that in the words of a good scientist communicator, the facts will be right and a researcher's passion might enthuse the viewer.

"I think that's really effective," Running said. "It puts a face behind the science. Here's the person who did the research. You hear the passion in their voice about why they think this matters."

Climate Progress: Don’t confuse weather with climate « Reasonable Doubt on Climate Change

The fanatics at climate progress don’t waste any time calling attention to summer heat and drought as evidence of “climate change” and “global warming”. But when someone notices its cold and snowing outside, they point out confusing individual weather events with long term climate change is faulty logic:

The Underlying Irrational Assumption Of The Scam | Real Science

Whatever you believe about global warming, greenhouse gases, climate hemorrhoids, Elvis’s death, and Obama’s birth certificate – there is one underlying irrational assumption which the whole house of cards is based on.

The assumption is that lower nighttime temperatures are better. There is no rational basis behind this assumption, yet without it – the scam collapses.

Keith Kloor's thinking on climate change : Deltoid

Keith Kloor says that this "concisely expressed" his thinking on climate change:

I categorise myself as somebody who recognises that additional CO2 in the atmosphere as a result of man's activities (fossil fuel burning and land use change) will have an effect on the balance of radiation coming into and leaving our atmosphere.

I do not have a confirmed view as to exactly what the impact of the CO2 will have (feedbacks etc being uncertain) but I know that it must have an effect - that's physics.

Monckton would not disagree with any of this.

Brrr Sydney, it's warmer in Melbourne

"At the moment, it's looking like it's going to be at least the coolest December since 1960," Ms Pepler said, adding that Sydney's historical average for December was 25.2 degrees.

...Forecasters from Weatherzone said it was possible Sydney could finish the month close to the record low average of 22.5 degrees, which was set in 1924.

Blog: DOE must release climate data

Imagine if the NIH sponsored research at Yale Medical School, and then the federal agency allowed the professors to decide that the clinical data was proprietary, withheld from the public indefinitely on behalf of the university and its pharmaceutical interests.  Further, the pharmaceutical interests claimed that the withheld data REQUIRED world governments to adopt its costly prescriptions for world health - saying "trust us, you just have to take our word for it". The liberal outcry would be enormous.  Yet substitute DOE for NIH, University of East Anglia for Yale, climate for clinical, and global warming alarmists' for pharmaceutical -- that is exactly the situation reported here.

Since this situation is favored by liberals, the DOE expects the MSM to cover for them.  The Department's strategy as reported by FOX News is to  "stonewall" until the controversy dies down.  We cannot let this happen.

The Carbon Crisis in 90 Seconds. - [141-second video] YouTube

Peter C. Griffith, Ph.D.: script and narration
Eric Mortensen: animation
NASA Goddard Science Visualization Studio: Earth and satellite visualizations

Cold wave grips north India, over 100 dead

Haridwar / Jalandhar, December 23 (ANI): The death toll due to intense cold that has gripped north India has crossed 100. Cold wave and dense fog that have led to low visibility have disrupted the normal life across the various north Indian states.

Andy Revkin (revkin) on Twitter

Katherine Harmon
Deaths from malaria are declining, but are they likely to disappear by 2015, as the WHO has hoped?

ekathimerini.com | Drivers snowed in in northern Greece

Some 500 motorists were snowed in on the Egnatia Odos highway in Kozani overnight on Thursday and into the early hours of Friday, as emergency rescue teams battled snowstorms and ice that caused an articulated truck to veer out of control and tip over, blocking the busy thoroughfare.

Scary 'Santa the Arsonist' Warns About Climate Change - Softpedia

The Smithsonian has launched a new spooky voting competition, meant to award not the kindest, best-looking or most eco-friendly Santa Claus, but the scariest character ever designed and printed on a piece of paper.

Some of the photos included in the ample gallery are funny, others give us chills down our spine and make us hope Santa won't hurry down the chimney this year.

One of the most intriguing images is definitely the one entitled “Santa the Arsonist” is anticipating the devastating effects posed by climate change, seven decades before this subject made it under the spotlight all across the Globe.

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Email 2334: Check out these ideas to mark the opening of the Tyndall Global Warming Hoax Centre

Email 2334

date: Fri, 22 Sep 2000 15:44:39 +1100 from: "Torok, Simon" subject: RE: Tyndall launch to: 'Mike Hulme'
...A few ideas come to mind for a hall launch. Depending on fire restrictions, one is to flick a spark, representing the spark of ideas coming from the Centre, to blow up balloons labelled 'CO2' (but filled with, say, hydrogen). Another is a bowling ball on a wire that the Minister can let go -- it would swing to the other side of the room, lose energy on the way back and just miss his head, representing a close call or swing in opinion, etc. I'll keep thinking along these lines over the weekend.

On a different line, I've heard of some scientists at UEA who do performances. Perhaps they could make up some part of the launch. Or the Science Museum in London have professional performers on contract, so if they happen to have people with a climate-related show it may be worth including them.

Cheers,

Simon -=-=-=-= Dr Simon Torok =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= _--_|\ Editor, The Helix...

We are looking for an idea re. opening - we had thought of the boring plaque unveiled, but dismissed it as too corny. Planting a tree won't work since everyone would have to move outside on a cold wet November day. Must be something in the venue hall. Any ideas welcome. Maybe something to do with carbon budgets or solar/wind energy?

We are pursuing Toyota for their loan of a proto-type hydrogen car which they have developed. People can then test-drive it!

Cheers,Mike [Hulme]

Warmist Overpeck writes to Jones/Trenberth/Mann/Solomon/Santer about the "get rid of the warm medieval period" email; he's worried that Deming may be "taking the quote out of context"

2008 ClimateGate email

Hi Phil, Kevin, Mike, Susan and Ben - I'm looking for some IPCC-related advice, so thanks in advance. The email below recently came in and I googled "We have to get rid of the warm medieval period" and "Overpeck" and indeed, there is a person David Deeming that attributes the quote to an email from me. He apparently did mention the quote (but I don't think me) in a Senate hearing. His "news" (often with attribution to me) appears to be getting widespread coverage on the internet. It is upsetting.

I have no memory of emailing w/ him, nor any record of doing so (I need to do an exhaustive search I guess), nor any memory of him period. I assume it is possible that I emailed w/ him long ago, and that he's taking the quote out of context, since know I would never have said what he's saying I would have, at least in the context he is implying.

Any idea what my reaction should be? I usually ignore this kind of misinformation, but I can imagine that it could take on a life of it's own and that I might want to deal with it now, rather than later. I could - as the person below suggests - make a quick statement on a web site that the attribution to me is false, but I suspect that this Deeming guy could then produce a fake email. I would then say it's fake. Or just ignore? Or something else?

Email 679: Michael Mann says that he knows Henry Waxman's staffers well; Phil Jones declines an offer to be interviewed for "The Great Global Warming Swindle"

Email 679

In any case, Wegman has refused to answer questions asked about his calculations sent by Henry Waxman, a California congressman. Funny thing is, when Waxman sent the letter, he was in the minority. But now that the democrats have taken over, he's the chair of investigations for the entire House of Representatives. I think his staffers (whom I know well) will be interested that Wegman doesn't have time for their questions but *does* have time to do skeptic documentaries!  [Mann]

Email 4194: Tyndall Centre salivating over the prospect of getting a piece of £27m in Carbon Trust climate hoax money

ClimateGate FOIA grepper!

From: Mike Hulme Date: Fri, 02 Feb 2001 22:22:25 +000 ??? Subject: C Trust To: ???@sussex.ac.uk

Frans,

We had a very constructive meeting today with the C Trust team from DETR. The Trust is very keen to work with Tyndall in a number of areas. In effect there is £27m to be allocated by the Trust during 2001/02 on projects/initiatives that take forward the de-carbonisation mission and they are clearly looking for good ideas to support.

Tyndall has a special position because of our R.Council status and strong interdisciplinarity. Thus we will join the Trust as a corporate member and are also able to nominate someone as a non-executive director to their Management Board (there may also be other formal links as the activities develop). Having considered a number of people, I wonder whether you would be prepared to be nominated as the Tyndall representative on their Board? You are well placed to bridge the technical/economic/behavioural spread of concerns, all of which fall within the remit of the Trust.

Tyndall Centre - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research is an organisation based in the United Kingdom that brings together scientists, economists, engineers and social scientists to 'research, assess and communicate from a distinct trans-disciplinary perspective, the options to mitigate, and the necessities to adapt to current climate change and continuing global Warming, and to integrate these into the global, UK and local contexts of sustainable development'.

The centre, named after the 19th century UK scientist John Tyndall (b. Ireland) and founded in 2000, has seven core partners: the University of East Anglia, University of Cambridge, Cardiff University, University of Manchester, Newcastle University, University of Oxford, University of Southampton, and the University of Sussex. Fudan University joined the Tyndall Centre partnership in May 2011.

Email 2426: CRU draft mission statement

Email 2426

For today's meeting, here is a draft mission statement written following the guidelines in my business plan book - hence the nature of the wording which may or may not be appropriate for a scientific institution. Regardless, this is a true mission statement with verifiable commitments rather than just a 'vision'. Mick

The mission of the Climatic Research Unit is to undertake cutting-edge research on the nature, predictability and impact of natural and anthropogenic climate change, maintaining a position as a world authority in this field.

Supporting the development of a sustainable response to the vagaries of climate, the Unit will continue to be recognised as a principal source of training and advice on climate issues because of the high quality, objectivity, topicality and policy-relevance of its work. [Mick Kelly, CRU]

Will Holland Fuel Carbon-Credit Dam Scam? | International Rivers

The Netherlands now proposes to purchase “offsets” from the Bujagali Dam on the Nile River in Uganda. The CDM board will decide whether to register Bujagali for credits on Dec. 29.  

The CDM is supposed to catalyze climate-friendly projects in low-income countries by allowing developers to sell carbon credits to clean-energy projects that couldn’t otherwise be built without the extra boost from the carbon credits. While this sounds like a “win-win” situation, CDM credits too often do not represent real reductions in emissions (and too often have supported dirty dams rather than real clean energy projects). Structural flaws in the system and cheating by project developers has meant that billions of dollars worth of credits are being sold by projects that never needed assistance from the CDM to be built.

Global trade war looms over carbon taxes | Australian Climate Madness

This is what happens when we finally arrive at the pointy end of the ludicrous and dangerous policies implemented in the EU to theoretically reduce emissions [note: which don't work]. The Chinese are furious at the EU’s unilateral decree that it will start taxing international flights as part of it’s carbon pricing regime
...
The realities of the imaginary green utopia begin to sink in.

Their Side – Bloggers knew FOIA emails were coming « the Air Vent

I just had a phone conversation with Leslie Kaufman of the NYT on the ‘hacker’....Anyway, the most interesting point of the conversation came out when she said in very rough paraphrase ‘Their side is that the email releases were known to you ahead of time.’

The ‘their side’ was fairly interesting as we know the “Climate Scientists™” are in good contact with the NYT as are the government agencies. It could have been nothing but often when you hear inflection of how something is said, you can get the meaning. I took it as though she had been talked too by someone of the opinion that the three blogs mentioned in the DOJ letter were intimately involved.

Collide-a-scape » Blog Archive » Collide-a-scape >> Has the Journal Nature Sullied its Brand?

The prestigious journal Nature has published a special supplement on traditional Asian medicine (free access). Financial sponsorship for it came from the Kitasato University Oriental Medicine Research Center and the Saishunkan Pharmaceutical Co, which is described as

a herbal medicine manufacturer which aims to help people make the most of their natural powers of healing and self-recovery.

Very cold temps expected next two mornings | KSBY.com | San Luis Obispo, Santa Maria, Santa Barbara, Paso Robles

A freeze warning is in place for the Central Coast and Santa Ynez valley tonight into Friday morning for temps that could drop to between 25 and 28 degrees and stay at those levels for several hours potentially damaging or killing some plants.

Keystone Cops: Warmists puzzle over how a critical non-hockey stick graph was featured in two IPCC reports; Phil Jones suggest it came from a guy who "made up" things

Email 1994

I've looked at the 1979 edition, and Figure 45 is the one. It has a curve, but with the 20th century warmer than the MWP!! It is said to be based on Lamb (1969). This is a chapter in the World Survey of Climatology Series edited by Landsberg. I can't see how you can adapt anything from this. Hubert's chapter has lots of detail, many figures which have lines with the phrase 'analyst's opinion' - one of his favourite terms for things he made up. If it is an adaptation, then it comes from Hubert's ideas about England and NW Europe, because these are the curves in the 1969 chapter. [Phil Jones]

Flashback: THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: Deja Vu '72?

UPDATE: Dr. [Hubert] Lamb was also the source of the paleoclimate graph used in the 1990 & 1995 IPCC reports which shows an inconvenient hotter Medieval Warming Period than the present. The following IPCC report threw away Dr. Lamb's graph in favor of Michael Mann's hockey stick graph, which served to eliminate the Medieval Warming Period. This was the purpose of Mann's hockey stick, as stated in the climategate emails, to eliminate or "contain the MWP" according to Mann.

ClimateGate email 5252: UEA chancellor sounds excited about UEA partnering with the "Carbon Trust" to gain money and publicity

Email 5252

Trevor, It sounds very well worthwhile to carrying on talking to the Carbon Trust about this or other possibilities. There would be the the obvious benefits of high profile research that could give us some excellent publicity. This could also be an excellent vehicle for establishing stronger working relationships with industrial partners who are carbon tax payers. These could well lead to some significant opprtunities for commercialising research. Another thought that crosses my mind is that the Carbon Trust might be persuaded to put in some capital (maybe as a contribution to ICER?). Graham

Professor Graham Bentham Pro-Vice-Chancellor (Research) Professor of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, England

Who we are

The Carbon Trust is a not-for-profit company with the mission to accelerate the move to a low carbon economy.

Email 986: US Department of Energy asks some questions relating to DOE funding for Phil Jones

Email 986

From: Hill, Michael [DOE]
Sent: Saturday, August 18, 2007 8:28 PM
To: Meardon Fiona Miss (RBS)
Subject: RE: Proposed Renewal of U.S. Department of Energy Grant No. DE-FG02-98ER62601
(Phil Jones' Project - UEA Ref R14702)

2008 email from Phil Jones: Is he suggesting here that it is the "job" of the skeptics to find errors in climate science?

Email 3915

In a letter to Nature - you could say this is an analysis of the most studied series in climatology. Thousands of people have looked at the data - and no-one has noticed this before!

Aside - If the skeptics had been doing their job properly and didn't start from a biased base, they might have spotted it !!! They start from the premise that the series is wrong. They will be kicking themselves to have missed this. I've always said it is WW2.

Shock: Planet-healer at Bixby Energy was allegedly living a "lavish lifestyle" while defrauding investors

Ex-CEO of Bixby Energy indicted on fraud charges | StarTribune.com

Walker and others also repeatedly misrepresented the operational capability of Bixby's coal-gas technology, saying it was proven and ready for market, when it was not, the indictment says. It says he and his cohorts also assured investors that a public offering was near when he knew that wasn't true because, among other things, Bixby could not obtain audited financial statements.

Finally, the indictment says Walker concealed the fact that money from incoming investors was being used to pay existing investors, that some of the money was used for undisclosed projects, and that some of the money went to fund "Walker's lavish lifestyle."

Bixby Energy

In a world that widely recognizes the negative impact of carbon emissions on global warming, coal is an infamous global pollutant. More than 50 percent of the electric energy in the U.S. alone comes from coal-fired power plants, which spew billions of tons of carbon dioxide into the air each year. It is estimated that emissions from these plants contribute 41 percent of the man-made pollution in the atmosphere. Considering the statistics, it is no wonder coal has developed such a bad reputation.

More bad news for the anti-energy, green greed brigade – Telegraph Blogs

Let me explain, once more for their benefit, in very simple language why I have a problem with the man-made global warming industry: on the basis of little hard scientific evidence (only computer projections), trillions of pounds, dollars and euros are being pumped into projects which make energy needlessly more expensive, cause tremendous environmental damage, slow down economic growth, stifle liberty and destroy jobs. If just one of the trolls can prove me wrong, I promise never to broach the subject again. But if the best they can come up with is the usual malicious chuntering, then here's a suggestion: bog off and hang out with the other eco-loons at Komment Macht Frei. The way the Guardian's going, it will need all the help it can get if it hopes to survive another year.

C3: The Gross Incompetence of Ben Santer & James Hansen: Their Non-Existent Global Warming

Ben Santer & James Hansen have long been declaring that global warming was accelerating from human CO2 - instead, the real facts reveals their incompetence

Saving the Climate Change Circus

The Economist Magazine has historically been a supporter of climate-change interventions such as cap and trade and carbon-emission reductions. Yet, they reported on the UN climate change talks in Durban as being more about “saving the circus” than “saving the planet.” But, just what is the “circus;” who are the performers; and how did they get into the ring? And, was it ever about “saving the planet?”

Chinese 2,485-year tree-ring study forecasts cold and colder til 2068

A blockbuster Chinese study of Tibetan tree rings by Liu et al 2011 forecasts a cooling planet ’til 2068.

In addition, the study shows that today’s climate is normal when compared to the last 2,500 years. The temperature, the rate of change — the world has seen it all before.

The New Normal : Completely Fraudulent Adjustments | Real Science

1. The Rahmstorf adjustment is 100% bogus. Temperature is temperature – you don’t adjust the readings because you don’t like (what you believe) are the underlying climatic causes of the trend.

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: Harming the economy, degrading the U.S. grid: another day at the EPA

Lisa Jackson's Power Play WSJ.com 12/22/11

Warning Signs: The UN's Global Warming Absurdity

There are many reasons for the U.S. to stop its funding of the United Nations, but the enormous waste and harm done by its environmental program may well top the list.

The Reference Frame: EU vs world: trade war over airline carbon tax

Under these circumstances, you should really think twice if you believe that you will be able to fly between Europe and America from January 2012. ;-) If no war erupts and the EU carbon fanatics win, each flight between Europe and America will be $120 more expensive for you. All the revenue will be used for paying global warming parasites.

Phil Jones: "For much of the SH between 40 and 60S the normals are mostly made up as there is very little ship data there"

Email 2729

The issue Ray alludes to is that in addition to the issue
of many more drifters providing measurements over the last
5-10 years, the measurements are coming in from places where
we didn't have much ship data in the past. For much of the SH
between 40 and 60S the normals are mostly made up as there is
very little ship data there. [Phil Jones]

Warmist Ray Bradley: "I am as guilty as the rest--I made up something from a corner of my brain on p.33 of my paleoclimatology book!"

Email 4924

There is another side to this which you don't mention --the first attempt to expand by
factors of 10, different so-called "global temperatures" was in the 1975 GARP report,
Understanding Climatic Change. In that, for the last 1000 years they used Lamb's
eastern European winter severity index. This version then got reproduced and further
mangled in several later publications, as shown in Tom's chapter. I am as guilty as the
rest--I made up something from a corner of my brain on p.33 of my paleoclimatology
book! But I did say schematic...!  [Ray Bradley]

In an attempt to fight fake future danger, why not create real danger right now?

Petition calls for rethink on road lighting switch off - Telegraph

According to the price comparison website, 67 per cent of drivers strongly oppose the switch-off, which occurs every day at midnight on stretches of the M1, M2, M4, M5, M6, M27 and M54.

The Highways Agency says that safety remains its highest priority and that the switch off helps it to support the government's climate change objective, with each section of motorway where the switch off is enforced making savings of more than 30 per cent in carbon emissions and electricity consumption.

Confused.com says that together the switch offs total 47.4 miles of unlit motorway between 12am and 5am, and that drivers' concerns include not being able to see clearly and getting tired.

Record Cold Out West | Real Science

December, 2011 may turn out to be the coldest December on record in the southwest. Low temperatures in Alamosa, Colorado (near the New Mexico border) have been averaging -18C this month, and high temperatures have been averaging -2C.

Wishing Katherine A Very Merry White Christmas | Real Science

Katherine Hayhoe, and her neighbors south of the border are looking to have a traditional white Christmas.

Arctic Ice Extent Likely To Set A Seven Year Record | Real Science

The record Arctic melt being reported, is rapidly leading towards the greatest ice extent in at least seven years.

Greenland Meltdown Update | Real Science

Nuuk is the capital of Greenland, and has been cooling over the last 100 years. Temperatures this year will finish well below the 100 year mean. Hillary visited Nuuk in March, to discuss how best to send money to stop global warming.

Dessler Is Partially Correct About One Thing | Real Science

Aggie joke Dessler says that he doesn’t trust satellite data. I agree with him, but not because the data is incorrect. The problem is that satellites went up during one of the coldest periods on record – 1978.

Global Warming Hoax Weekly Round-Up, Dec. 22nd 2011 « The Daily Bayonet

The search for the Hippie of the Year is down to the final six, intemperate hippies hope to send skeptics into orbit and green technology is bad for Gaia.

No turning back to the dark ages

Debunk junk science at the earliest opportunity

Craig and Marc Kielburger: Why We're All Confused About Climate Change

Climate science is complicated and scary, fair enough: but our contributions don't have to be. Even a child can start by learning how much energy we save annually by turning off a light switch, or get permission to watch An Inconvenient Truth. Informed newspaper readers can work their way up to learning more about methyl chloroform.

Despite risks to our psychological comfort, we hope that a fear of climate catastrophe will motivate action, not avoidance.

German solar firms go from boom to bust | Reuters

Since the end of last year, roughly 5,000 companies involved in the solar business have shut up shop, shedding about 20,000 jobs, according to German solar industry group BSW.

40-day Harshest Winter Period 'Chillai Kalan` Begins in Kashmir

Other main towns ofthe Valley are also experiencing an unusually cold winter as the night temperature has stayed below the freezing point for most of December. Frozen taps have become a common sight in the Valley as a thin layer of ice forms overwater bodies due to freezing temperatures during the nights. 

Electricity supply has also reduced due to the cold wave as the glacial discharge in the rivers, which fuels power generation projects, has decreased, resulting in unscheduled load shedding for long hours becoming a daily affair.

...The dry cold weather has resulted in cold-related diseases in the entire Kashmir Valley. Long queues of people could be seen outside the medical shops and in hospitals. 

Doctors have warned that children and elderly persons should not expose themselves to cold, particularly during morning and night hours. 

The dry cold weather has resulted in cough, bad-cold, chest infections and other cold-related diseases. 

White Christmas For All Of New Mexico | Real Science

I lived in New Mexico for many years, starting in the 1950s. This winter is bringing unprecedented cold and snow, which is the exact opposite of what the climate models predicted. The ski area at Los Alamos had their record snow year two years ago, but this year is getting off to a very fast start.

Jerry Brown allegedly utters a secular prayer for solar-powered cars

Going solar while going broke | utilities, renewable, power - Opinion - The Orange County Register

As Gov. Jerry Brown participated in a Capitol menorah-lighting ceremony this week to mark the onset of the Jewish holiday Hanukkah, he uttered a secular prayer for a miracle that would make California a model of carbon-free energy.

Today's miracle "is not to find more oil, but to utilize the sun," he said, adding, "when we continue to use our intelligence, we're going to take that sun through the miracle of modern science and technology, and we're going to light up California, our cars, our homes, our air conditioners."


It's all so confusing: Warmist Michael Mann: "Classic La Nina signature. Climate models wrong in projecting more El Nino-like future? Perhaps,I've argued"

Twitter / @MichaelEMann: @pkedrosky Classic La Nina ...

Classic La Nina signature. Climate models wrong in projecting more El Nino-like future? Perhaps,I've argued:

Flashback: BBC News - Past climate anomalies explained

If the response of the Earth in the past is analogous to the temperature increase caused by greenhouse gases... it could lend credence to this counterintuitive notion of a La Nina response to global warming," said Professor Mann.

But, he added, that the Earth's response to greenhouse-gas-induced global warming might be more complex than "natural" warming.

Environment world review of the year: '2011 rewrote the record books' | Environment | guardian.co.uk

It was marked on the ground by unparalleled extremes of heat and cold in the US

North India in grip of cold wave; 13 dead in UP

NEW DELHI, 22 DEC: North India remained in the grip of a severe cold wave today with Kashmir Valley bearing the brunt even as 13 more people succumbed to the extreme weather in Uttar Pradesh taking the nationwide death toll to 106.

Harsh Winter Forecast: The Perfect Storm for Broken Bones

ROSEMONT, Ill., Dec. 22, 2011 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- With the Farmers' Almanac prediction of an unusually cold and stormy weather forecast this winter orthopaedic foot and ankle surgeons are bracing for a busy season.  Unfortunately, snowy and icy weather conditions increase the number of sprains and fractures from falls.

Twitter / @JessicaBG: Jonathan Porritt is @Busin ...

  Jonathan Porritt is readers' clear favourite to replace Lord Turner as chair of the Committee on Climate Change on our poll

Twitter / @dbiello: also, spending more money ...

  also, spending more money on climate change means we can spend less money on public health and humanitarian disasters

ANCYL thanks Kim Jong-il for 'combatting climate change' - News - Mail & Guardian Online

"Scientific" American suggests that CO2-induced warming is already killing 150,000 people per year

Could Public Health Benefits Make Combating Climate Change Free?: Scientific American

Climate change threatens human health, therefore reducing greenhouse gas emissions may help our medical well-being, too

David Biello

...Already WHO research suggests that current warming of global average temperatures of just under one degree Celsius is responsible for an additional 150,000 deaths per year, largely due to agricultural failures and diarrheal disease in developing countries. "All the inputs are on the conservative side," says Campbell-Lendrum, who helped come up with the number.

Leah Parsons: A Girl Guide's Perspective on Climate Change

I was at the United National Climate Change Conference in Durban with a delegation of Girl Guides and Girl Scouts from across the world (The World Association of Girl Guides and Girl Scouts - WAGGGS), 17 of us from 13 different countries. We spent our days at the conference spreading the message of what guiding across the world is about and how we are tackling climate changes, as well highlighting the work we do promoting gender equality.
...All my Guides feel very strongly about climate change and it would seem they are not alone. Research into the attitudes and opinions of girls and young women conducted by Girlguiding UK shows that this feeling is widespread. Girlguiding UK's annual Girls' Attitudes Survey investigates girls' opinions on a range of subjects, including the environment. This year 55% of 11-21-year-olds agreed with the statement 'I am angry that adults have damaged the environment, and our generation will have to deal with this'. This is up from 38% last year which is a huge leap.

Commentary: Why Canada Kissed Kyoto Good-bye | The National Interest

Canada's departure from Kyoto has put $1600 into every Canadian family’s bank account. At the same time, by allowing Canada to go ahead developing oil properties, the decision will keep a cap on crude prices and allow developing nations to grow and prosper. Canada may, by developing oil sands, diminish American dependence on Middle Eastern energy. Most importantly, the decision protects the Canadian economy from the recession that has gripped Europe. It was the right thing to do.

Professor Tom Velk is director of North American Studies at McGill University.

Post-COP-17 World: Bye Bye UNEP Climate Neutral Network « The Unbearable Nakedness of CLIMATE CHANGE

In other words, nobody’s interested any longer.

Warmists can't reach a consensus on a Soon et al paper: Mann says it's "irresponsible, deceptive, dishonest, and a violation of the very essence of the scientific approach"; WIgley says the paper contains "numerous criticisms, usually justified"

2003 ClimateGate email

Would we be compelled to provide a counterexample to disprove the authors if they had asserted that "1=2"? What they have done isn't that much different... So its one thing to throw out a bunch of criticisms, very few of which are valid. But to then turn around and present a fundamentally ill-posed, supposed "analysis" which doesn't even attempt to provide a quantitative "alternative" to past studies, to claim to have disproven those past studies, and to supposedly support the non-sequitor conclusion that the "MWP was warmer than the 20th century" is irresponsible, deceptive, dishonest, and a violation of the very essence of the scientific approach in my view. One or two people can't fight that alone, certainly not with the "artillary" (funding and political organization) that has been lined up on the other side. In my view, it is the responsibility of our entire community to fight this intentional disinformation campaign, which represents an affront to everything we do and believe in. I'm doing everything I can to do so, but I can't do it alone [wait a minute:  what happened to the thousands and thousands of scientists who allegedly agree with Mann?]--and if I'm left to, we'll lose this battle, mike [Mann]
At 02:18 PM 5/16/2003 -0600, Tom Wigley wrote:

Dear folks, I have just read the Soon et al. paper in E&E. Here are some comments, and a request. Mike said in an email that he thought the paper contained possibly 'legally actionable' ad hominem attacks on him and others. I do not agree that there are ad hominem attacks. There are numerous criticisms, usually justified (although not all the justifications are valid). I did not notice any intemperate language. While many of the criticisms are invalid, and some are irrelevant, there are a number that seem to me to be quite valid....It is already 'credible' since it is in the peer reviewed literature (and E&E, by the way, is peer reviewed).

Occupy Wall Street: Where did all the money go? | GlobalPost

In New York, protesters doled out $3,000 for supplies to make Halloween puppets, $1,100 for herbs — the legal variety — and $19,200 for tents. Other expenses included bagels, women’s underwear, metro cards, cleaning supplies, tobacco, and a lot of walkie-talkies.

The Chevy Trabant? « LewRockwell.com Blog

Rather than repeat previous comments on the atrocity that is the Chevy Trabant, see my blog from October 2010: "Chevy Volt: The Government's Car" where I wrote about the assorted subsidies, buyer's tax credits, and the global warming (oops, climate change) scam that is behind the government-corporate state, centrally-planning mechanism that creates jobs in strategic sectors with strategic corporate partners to produce subsidized products that no one wants to buy on the market so the green industry can be well-funded via redistribution schemes, and people can be propagandized into "going green" to prop up these highly-profitable and fascist state-corporate partnerships.

EU airline carbon move could spark trade war-China | Reuters

"This is a trade barrier in the name of environmental protection and will strike a wide blow to passenger benefits and the international airline industry," the state-run Xinhua News Agency said in a commentary.

 "It will be difficult to avoid a trade war focused on an aviation 'carbon tax'," said Xinhua, whose editorials generally reflect the official government position.